Collision Risk Due to TCAS Safety Issues

Collision Risk Due to TCAS Safety Issues

Publication info
Author
EUROCONTROL
Category
Safety Nets
Date of publication
10/05/2010

The current study has reviewed the previous computation with recent (2009) UK and French data. Two SA01a events and two SA-AVSA events were found, in recordings with 3,400,000 flight hours of traffic. Using these additional events, an update of the initial risk of collision (i.e., one collision every 3 years) was made. The new figure computed indicates that the risk of collision with issues SA01 and SA-AVSA is assessed to be one collision every 7.5 years. The corresponding probability (i.e., 9.8x10-9 per flight (hour) exceeds the tolerable rate for catastrophic events caused by equipment-related hazards by a factor of about 10. The severity of these two issues continues to call for a rapid implementation of the solution, TCAS II logic version 7.1.

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